The four-year-old gelding won his Victoria Derby heat easier than any other runner in the 2012 Victoria Derby and will be looking to do the same tomorrow night.

Restrepo will have to contend with a second row draw when he runs in the 2012 Victoria Derby.

The Art Major colt has won seven of his eight race starts and has earned more than $60,000 in prize money.

Co-trainer Clayton Tonkin believes Restrepo has the best chance of any horse in tomorrow’s 2012 Victoria Derby.

“We’ve had a lot of very good horses come through our place, like Bonavista Bay and Safari, but what he can do is unbelievable,” Tonkin said.

“He’s right up there with them already, and there’s plenty more to come.

“He is exceptional and I wouldn’t be swapping him for anything else in the race.”

The 2012 Victoria Derby will also share it’s program with the $400,000 Group 1 Hunter Cup, the Group 1 Inter Dominion Trotting  Championship Final, the Group 2 Inter Dominion Trotting Championship Consolation Final and the Group 3 Bonanza.

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The gelding has drawn a back row barrier for the 2012 Victoria Derby, which will make for a tough race.

Trainer Chris Robinson believes Major Post will still have a chance to win the $200,000 race.

“It makes it a lot tougher race to win off the second row but then again it takes the pressure off a bit too,” Robinson said.

“We are just going to need them to run the race upside down so that the front runners get tired and those at the back can swoop late, the draw is actually quite interesting because the two favourites have both drawn the second line as well so it is not going to be your typical derby.”

The four-year-old won his 2012 Victoria Derby heat last Friday night and will be looking to past the post first again this Saturday.

“He was second up last week but he had a pretty easy run in transit and it didn’t knock him around at all,” Robinson said.

“He has eaten really well since and I couldn’t have him any better.”

The trainer admitted he was initially reluctant to run Major Park in the 2012 Victoria Derby.

“I wasn’t really sure whether I would go down to Victoria and compete in the Derby heats because I didn’t think Major Post was ready for it, he has shown plenty of ability but he is still growing physically and mentally and in the end it was Blake Fitzpatrick who convinced me to nominate him,” he said.

Major Post will go into the 2012 Victoria Derby with five wins from seven starts to his name and prize money of more than $37,000.

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It keeps up the trend of short priced favourites struggling in the race with Manawanui simply not running the trip after no complaints during the run.

Sangster hardly had the run of the race,  he was caught three wide from an outside draw and had little choice but to push forward.

The other horses used him as a shield to try and run themselves into the race and at the top of the straight they were lining up  to take him on.

Manawanui did take the lead as they straightened but it wasn’t long before Sangster loomed up on his outside.

They were in a battle themselves about 400m out but Sangster simply dropped the favourite and went clear in front.

It was then up to something else to launch from the pack and Induna did the job flying home in the final 200m.

He had a huge amount of ground to make up but with 100m to go he was closing and closing fast.

He got to him on the line but fell a head short  leaving Sangster as the 2011 Victoria Derby champion.

He paid a healthy $15.2 with online bookmaker Luxbet representing a mountain of value for the punters.

Induna was a brave second at $2.10 with Sabrage working well late at $3.80.

Zabeelionaire was a huge run form last on the turn to end up coming home in fourth spot.

Manawanui was behind that pack as his campaign no doubt comes to an end.

For Sangster though, the connections, kiwi trainer Trent Busuttin and jockey Hugh Bowman it was a tremendous victory and there will no doubt be long celebrations after Sangster won the 2011 Victoria derby.

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2011 Victoria Derby Results

Fluctuations have been the norm rather than the exception however the big story is the continual drift of favourite Manawanui.

He keeps creeping up towards that $3.00 market and the big question is when will it go pop.

There’s little doubt that should he hit 2 to 1 the cash will pouring for him so as a punter it’s a case of how long will you wait.

Remember though that’s there’s plenty of people in the same boat so as the race draws near people will be biting the bullet and taking whatever odds they can get.

With that in mind it could be an idea to take his current fixed price which is best with online bookmaker Luxbet.

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2011 Victoria Derby Betting & Odds Update

Manawanui

$2.30 out to $2.70

Isopach

$41 out to $51

Collar

$18 into $15

Sabrage

$13 out to $14

Sangster

$12 into $11

Perfect Punch

$17 out to $18

Induna

$6.00 into $4.80

Costly Commitment

$18 out to $21

Scelto

$101 into $61

Niagara

$7.00 out to $8.00

Cornell

$61 steady

Eagle Command

$21 out to $31

Zabeelionaire

$18 into $17

I Feel Good

$101 out to $151

Rapidus

$151 into $81

Mr Chez

$51 out to $101

These are your horse, from somewhere in this group the winner of the 2011 Victoria Derby lies.

Get on now at Luxbet.

Finally tomorrow at Flemington the talk will stop and the horses will jump in the bid to find the best three year old over 2500m in the country.

It’s time then for us to put up our 2011 Victoria Derby Tips as well as bring you the latest betting information thanks to Luxbet.

Below are all the latest market fluctuations and at the bottom of the page you’ll find our exclusive expert tips.

Remember that there’s still plenty of time to register an account with Luxbet and claim that $500 free bet offer.

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2011 Victoria Derby Betting & Odds

Manawanui

$2.30 out to $2.60

Isopach

$41 out to $51

Collar

$18 out to $15

Sabrage

$13 steady

Sangster

$12 steady

Perfect Punch

$17 out to $18

Induna

$6.00 into $4.60

Costly Commitment

$18 out to $26

Scelto

$101 into $61

Niagara

$7.00 out to $8.50

Cornell

$61 steady

Eagle Command

$21 out to $31

Zabeelionaire

$18 out to $21

I Feel Good

$101 steady

Rapidus

$151 steady

Mr Chez

$51 out to $81

EMERGENCIES

Mustang

$51 out to $81

Monsili

$201 out to $251

2011 Victoria Derby Tips

So what does that all mean then? Which odds do you need to take on the 2011 Victoria Derby? These are our picks.

1st - Manawanui simply just has too much class, sure there’s a query on the trip but that’s the case for every other runner.

2nd - Induna is a hell of a horse and could really upset the apple cart, these two could break clear themselves.

3rd - Zabeelionaire represents great value and this consistent horse only gets better as the trip increases.

There you have it, the top three for the 2011 Victoria Derby. Get a piece of them right now with Luxbet and don’t forget that exclusive code, BONUSBET!!

The reason punters often have a hard time with the Victoria Derby comes down the number of unknowns in the race.

When betting on racing the thing you want to do the most is eliminate the amount of ‘guesses’ you have to make.

To keep to an absolute minimum the numbers of factors you can’t foresee.

That’s why the Victoria Derby is so tough with not one of these runners ever having run the 2500m.

It’ s a big ask for these three year olds and you have to take a lot of them on faith based on what you’ve seen working toward sit.

Sure breeding is a big factor so to the horses running style but plenty of top horses have been found out at their first trip across the 2500m.

To help you out we’ve put together the 2011 Victoria Derby form guide below paying particular attention to how they’ve looked leading up to this.

If you think you can spot a winner than the news is good for you because the Victoria Derby always pays big dividends.

With 100 to 1 upsets and many favourites failing over the years the bookies aren’t afraid to offer some big markets on the Victoria Derby, especially at Luxbet.

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2011 Victoria Derby Form Guide

Manawanui

Classiest horse in the race and if he stays the trip he’ll win. Query at the trip but so are all of them so while he’s in the black take him, if he goes odds on leave him alone.

Isopach

Won really well two starts back but was a real flop in the Norman Robinson. Didn’t appear to have too many excuses either, I think he’ll struggle with the 2500m.

Collar

Gets the gun draw with barrier four but was beaten with ease by Manawanui last start. His only hope is that the extra 500m helps him and hinders the favourite.

Sabrage

Won the Norman Robinson and with that comes right into contention. Looks like the extra distance will only help him but from gate 16 he needs a mountain of luck.

Sangster

Fell narrowly to Sabrage in the Norman Robinson but the race was set up for that to happen. He hit the front too soon and a more patient approach will have him right in this one on Saturday.

Perfect Punch

Ran third in the Geelong Classic but was carrying a big weight and was caught wide. Drops 2.5kg but will start from gate 13 again which could be a big problem.

Induna

Won the Geelong Classic in fantastic style and is the deserved second favourite in the race this weekend. He’s actually won by a total of 10 lengths in his past two, massive chance.

Costly Commitment

Came home quite strongly for fourth position in the Norman Robinson and he could be another that likes the extra trip. That being said he was beaten comfortably by Isopach before that and given his state the form could be sketchy.

Scelto

Ran third behind Manawanui in the AAMI Vase but it was only a six horse race and he was three and a half off him. Always looked like a horse that was Derby bound but he needs massive improvements.

Niagara

Had no luck at all in the Norman Robinson but still flashed home in third spot. Big things are expected of him here but from the extreme outside he’s going to need a miraculous performance.

Cornell

Was the second half of the Darley quinella in the Geelong Classic and has since been overshadowed by Inuda. Probably fair enough too, he won’t beta his stablemate here.

Eagle Command

Trainer Gary Portelli says he didn’t like running between horses last time when well back in the Geelong Classic but he won’t have that issue here, form gate 15 he’ll have as much space as he likes.

Zabeelionaire

Doesn’t take a genius to work out he’s got the breeding to go the trip but that’s probably the only reason you’d back him. Fifth in the Norman Robinson but over five lengths off them.

I Feel Good

Was fourth behind Manawanui five and a half lengths away and you have to think that even if the favourite didn’t run the trip there’s better horses in this field.

Rapidus

Unique horse coming from a different prior event, he won a maiden at Gosford over 1600m. Massive jump in class and distance, he wins I won’t be on him.

Mr Chez

Fourth in the Geelong Classic over four and a half lengths away, he won’t be winning this race.

EMERGENCIES

Mustang

Ninth in the Geelong Classic nearly 10 lengths away, same result would probably be the best he could ask.

Monsili

Won last start but a Benchmark 58 over 2200m is a long way from the Group 1 Victoria Derby.

There you have it, the full form guide for every runner in the 2011 Victoria Derby field.

Remember that if you’re going to have a punt guarantee yourself the best odds for every event on the calendar by betting online with the Tabcorp owned Luxbet!

The Victoria Derby is one of the most famous races in the country  and the ‘Derby’ brand as a whole represents some of the best racing on the planet.

Just think about it, the Kentucky Derby, the Epsom Derby, the Irish Derby and for us, the Victorian Derby.

In 2011 we have an interesting mix going into the race with one horse that stands head and shoulders above the rest in terms of class, but by no means a sure thing here.

It could be the history that the Victorian Derby has of producing an upset that see’s Manawanui still in the black with online bookmaker Luxbet.

The 2500m grueling assignment around Flemington can catch out plenty of horses so while Manawanui has easily been the best horse so far, it’s not to say he’ll still be the best horse come this Saturday.

There are plenty of others lining up to knock him off his perch including  Sangster, Sabrage, Induna, Niagara and Eagle Command.

Below is the full final field for the 2011 Victoria Derby as well as barrier positions and jockeys.

This year is only colts and geldings so every horse comes in under the same conditions with 55.5kg.

Markets for the 2011 Victoria Derby are already up with Luxbet so head across there now to take a look.

You can claim a free bet if you’re a new member as well, just put in the code BONUSBET when you make an account.

After that make your first deposit and it will be matched anywhere up to $500!

 2011 Victoria Derby Final Field

An announcement on the final makeup of the race will be made tomorrow however you can work out a good deal of the field based on the latest Victoria Derby Nominations.

There’s no prizes for working out which horse will start as favourite with the rampaging Manawanui looking to continue his hugely impress run of good form.

After pushing Helmet all the way to the line two starts back he had a far easier time of it last time out winning easily in what amounted to little more than a track gallop.

That won’t be the case this Saturday in the Victoria derby though when he faces a couple of new challenges.

The first is the trip, this will be the first time he gets out to the 2500m and it’s simply a matter of will he stay or won’t he?

Helmet proved in the Cox Plate that he couldn’t go the trip so Manawanui will have to be better here.

There’s also a couple of new competitors he needs to deal with, most notably the well regarded Sabrage and Niagara.

They could be a few smokey’s in the mix as well and as we know the Victoria Derby is the type of race that can well and truly throw up some strange results.

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2011 Victoria Derby Nominations

In fact when he arrives at Flemington for the 2011 Victoria Derby on Saturday week he’ll be aiming to win it for a fourth time.

The horse he’ll be relying on is Sabrage, a colt he’s already won in the Group 3 Norman Robinson Stakes at Caulfield.

Oliver will partner the horse again for trainer Michael Moroney who’s more than keen to keep up the winning combination.

Oliver’s love affair with the Victoria Derby started back in 1992 when he first won it aboard Redding.

There was a big gap after that until he once again got up, this time on Amalfi in 2001.

The next break was nowhere near as long, just two years before Elvstroem succeeded in 2003.

In between those wins he’s also come close on a number of occasions finishing second on Centro, Naturalism and Sky Heights.

Moroney is also no stranger to Victoria Derby success, he won in 2009 with Monaco Consul after breaking his duck back in 1997 with Second Coming.

He says he’s confident of bagging a third in the 2011 Victoria Derby.

“He’s pulled up really well and Ollie said he was a horse that can be ridden anywhere in the field and that he should have no trouble with the extra distance,” Moroney said.

Sabrage is currently a $8.50 chance for the 2011 Victoria Derby with online bookmaker Luxbet.

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That’s what happened back in 2008 when Rebel Raider got up to beat Whobegotyou as a 100 to 1 chance in arguably the biggest upset in Victoria Derby history.

In 2011 it won’t be anywhere near a big a shock if Perfect Punch can repeat the dose, although he does still need to make some improvements.

He’s won three in a row in Adelaide and as a result at online bookmaker Luxbet he’s moved in from over $50 to barely remain in double figures.

There’s a good story in the horse as well with Henry Perks heading the syndicate, he was a main shareholder in Rebel raider as well.

They will get a good look at what Perfect Punch needs to do when one of the favourites Collar runs tomorrow at Caulfield.

They lead the betting along with Manawnaui and Helmet however both those horses are unlikely to start.

That would make Perfect punch a leading prospect, proving of course he runs well at the Geelong Classic next Wednesday.

“Rebel Raider ran (third) in the Geelong race after starting his preparation in Adelaide and it fits in better with the program,” Macdonald said.

“It means ten days since his last run and then ten days into the Derby which I think is preferable to two weeks and a week.”

“It’s a proven formula for us.”

In terms of both breeding and ability Macdonald has backed Perfect punch to become a top level stayer and he says while still developing the lack of depth in this year’s Victoria Derby will give him a Group 1 chance earlier than expected.

“Perfect Punch has only had five runs and is still as green as grass and does a lot of things wrong,” he said.

“But there don’t seem to be many staying three-year-olds around.

“The sprinters are top-class but the staying ranks are thin.

“He is by an AJC Derby winner in Starcraft, his mother Tayasu Run won the Belmont Oaks in Perth and her sire Tayasu Tsuyoshi was a Japan Derby winner so I have no worries about the 2500 metres.”

The career of Rebel Raider finished last month after being retired to stud following an injury.

Betting markets are well and truly open on the 2011 Victoria Derby so jump on to Luxbet to get a hold of the very best early odds.

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