The 2011 Victoria Derby form guide is always one of the toughest to do and it will be no different this Saturday at Flemington Racecourse.
The reason punters often have a hard time with the Victoria Derby comes down the number of unknowns in the race.
When betting on racing the thing you want to do the most is eliminate the amount of ‘guesses’ you have to make.
To keep to an absolute minimum the numbers of factors you can’t foresee.
That’s why the Victoria Derby is so tough with not one of these runners ever having run the 2500m.
It’ s a big ask for these three year olds and you have to take a lot of them on faith based on what you’ve seen working toward sit.
Sure breeding is a big factor so to the horses running style but plenty of top horses have been found out at their first trip across the 2500m.
To help you out we’ve put together the 2011 Victoria Derby form guide below paying particular attention to how they’ve looked leading up to this.
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2011 Victoria Derby Form Guide
Classiest horse in the race and if he stays the trip he’ll win. Query at the trip but so are all of them so while he’s in the black take him, if he goes odds on leave him alone.
Won really well two starts back but was a real flop in the Norman Robinson. Didn’t appear to have too many excuses either, I think he’ll struggle with the 2500m.
Gets the gun draw with barrier four but was beaten with ease by Manawanui last start. His only hope is that the extra 500m helps him and hinders the favourite.
Won the Norman Robinson and with that comes right into contention. Looks like the extra distance will only help him but from gate 16 he needs a mountain of luck.
Fell narrowly to Sabrage in the Norman Robinson but the race was set up for that to happen. He hit the front too soon and a more patient approach will have him right in this one on Saturday.
Ran third in the Geelong Classic but was carrying a big weight and was caught wide. Drops 2.5kg but will start from gate 13 again which could be a big problem.
Won the Geelong Classic in fantastic style and is the deserved second favourite in the race this weekend. He’s actually won by a total of 10 lengths in his past two, massive chance.
Came home quite strongly for fourth position in the Norman Robinson and he could be another that likes the extra trip. That being said he was beaten comfortably by Isopach before that and given his state the form could be sketchy.
Ran third behind Manawanui in the AAMI Vase but it was only a six horse race and he was three and a half off him. Always looked like a horse that was Derby bound but he needs massive improvements.
Had no luck at all in the Norman Robinson but still flashed home in third spot. Big things are expected of him here but from the extreme outside he’s going to need a miraculous performance.
Was the second half of the Darley quinella in the Geelong Classic and has since been overshadowed by Inuda. Probably fair enough too, he won’t beta his stablemate here.
Trainer Gary Portelli says he didn’t like running between horses last time when well back in the Geelong Classic but he won’t have that issue here, form gate 15 he’ll have as much space as he likes.
Doesn’t take a genius to work out he’s got the breeding to go the trip but that’s probably the only reason you’d back him. Fifth in the Norman Robinson but over five lengths off them.
I Feel Good
Was fourth behind Manawanui five and a half lengths away and you have to think that even if the favourite didn’t run the trip there’s better horses in this field.
Unique horse coming from a different prior event, he won a maiden at Gosford over 1600m. Massive jump in class and distance, he wins I won’t be on him.
Fourth in the Geelong Classic over four and a half lengths away, he won’t be winning this race.
Ninth in the Geelong Classic nearly 10 lengths away, same result would probably be the best he could ask.
Won last start but a Benchmark 58 over 2200m is a long way from the Group 1 Victoria Derby.
There you have it, the full form guide for every runner in the 2011 Victoria Derby field.
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